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You can’t manage and optimize a campaign
unless you measure the results. Over the years, the
advertising community has split itself into two camps,
each with their own set of metrics. Direct response marketers
measure sales and leads that turn into sales (or
those that don’t). Rarely will you hear die-hard direct
marketers use the words branding or brand lift. Similarly,
although “awareness” is something a direct marketing
campaign generates, direct marketers don’t
generally use the measure of awareness as a metric. The
direct response marketer has a laser focus on measurable
results and the media driving those results. Branders,
on the other hand, have a whole set of metrics
designed as proxies for success, which attempt to quantify
the influence that marketing, PR, and advertising
have on eventual purchase behavior. When conversions
to leads, sales, or other positive behaviors can be tracked,
direct marketers scoff at branding metrics, and branders
fire back that direct marketers are too myopic, focusing
only on obviously traceable behaviors.
ROI Is in the Eye of the Beholder
As online marketers, it’s easy to get spoiled with the impression,
click, and conversion data available at our fingertips. Search marketers
are perhaps even more prone to get spoiled because clicks
from searches tend to have the highest observable conversion rates.
Search campaign reports let you watch those conversions occurring
in almost realtime, plus we also have a bunch of additional postclick
behaviors you can watch that may or may not be correlated
with eventual conversion to leads or sales. You can watch not only
every click into your sites from your search engine advertising but
also every click thereafter until the visitor leaves your sites.
Every marketer wants to manage search marketing campaigns to
maximize profit. Early in a campaign’s lifecycle, this process starts out
as a goal of achieving positive return on investment (ROI), which then
evolves into a profit metric. Profit is not nearly as easy to measure as
observable ROI. This is one reason why it’s hard to imagine that your
competitors, who may have locked in top SERP positions using the
tactic of bidding significantly higher than you do for clicks, are running
profitable campaigns. Instead, you might assume they are spending
money on clicks providing a negative return. Your competitors
might indeed be crazy, wasting their money on unprofitable clicks, or
they might be measuring profitability and ROI differently than you
do. In effect, ROI is in the eye of the beholder.
Imagine all the different ways you might choose to measure ROI
or attempt to close the data loop to evaluate positive behaviors that
correlate to sales, in order to more accurately measure profit from
a campaign. For example, you might look at predictors of lifetime
customer value, profit per order, offline conversion percentages,
and so on.
ROI is this decade’s buzzword. Yet the highest-ROI strategy is rarely a
profit-maximizing strategy when it comes to paid search. Bidding less
for keywords often improves the ROI at the sacrifice of customer
volume. To run a business profitably, you must balance ROI and sales
volume. This is called profit maximization/optimization.
Profit Maximization
The concepts underlying profit maximization go beyond SEM, into
the realm of business and marketing best practices. Yet the more clients
I talk with, the more I realize success metrics and strategies used
for search are sometimes arbitrary and shortsighted. Worse, they may
not be aligned with nonsearch marketing strategy and objectives.
Admittedly, execution of search campaign optimization can be complex
and daunting. As a marketer, your responsibility is to use metrics
and objectives that drive profit. The marketing and profit objectives
you select should be consistent across media, online and off.
Warning: The following can hurt your brain! But please don’t be
intimidated. MBAs need semesters of schooling to absorb the concepts
underlying this analysis (it’s been over 10 years since I first
absorbed them at Yale). Luckily, I liked economics and use these
concepts every day in my business and for clients. My objective is
to explain and illustrate marginal profit and elasticity. If I confuse
you, please let me know.
High ROI campaigns and ROI maximization sound wonderful. But
in reality, they’re hard to achieve. For example, you may know you
can’t really achieve volume maximizing ROI, because you run lots
of listings in multiple engines. The highest ROI campaign possible
is one in which you can have your best-converting listing at a minimum
price (cost per click [CPC]). The cost per order/lead/action for
this listing is the lowest you can go in the search marketplace; in
other words, it is ROI maximized.
Let’s assume that to acquire this very best listing, you spend $25 per
month and drive $3,000 in sales at a 50 percent profit. Don’t start
celebrating yet. Where’s the conversion volume? There may not be
any at all. So you need more traffic, and you may be willing to accept
lower ROI on broader, higher volume listings that—while they may
not share the same ROI as your very best listings—provide marginal
ROI that is still positive.
ROI Optimization and Profit Maximization Balance
Sophisticated search marketers balance ROI optimization and profit
maximization. Imagine you have the perfect balance between traffic
volume and ROI. In this scenario, you get high conversion volume
(sales/leads/actions) and positive profit. On a listing-by-listing basis,
you’re lowering per-unit profit in exchange for additional clickthrough/
sales volume delivering an increase in total profit.
Raise your media price (CPC or CPM) too high on a particular listing,
given a particular conversion rate, and you’ll get negative profit.
Drop it too low and you’ll miss out on the additional total gross
profit produced by additional sales/leads/actions (opportunity cost).
Economists would recommend you continue to spend more on traffic
until the incremental (marginal) profit you earn by spending
more drops to zero.
That’s a theoretical solution. The real world is rarely that simple.
Without complex marketing automation systems, a manageable
way to move to a profit-maximizing campaign management strategy
is to know your cost per order/lead/action across all marketing
media, as well as where your target price for such media needs to be
to make a reasonable profit.
How do you do this? Start by setting a specific goal, in terms of cost
per order/cost per action (CPO/CPA) for your campaign (or by
individual listing, if listings result in different products being purchased
or address different profiles of the purchaser). Manage campaign
listings around this CPO/CPA goal. You’ll see almost
immediately which listings deliver conversions at a rate close to your
CPO/CPA goal, while simultaneously driving a high volume of conversions
and traffic.
Your campaign management is probably based on some post-click
conversion cost objective. Based on your CPO/CPA objectives and
targets, you must (manually or automatically) move your bids up and
down, causing some of your listings to oscillate in positions. The
search engines generally place the top 1, 2, or 3 ads at the top of the
screen and often syndicate those same listings to other search engines.
Often the dynamic change in positions of your ad occurs right at the edge of the premium high position/heavily syndicated levels. For some of these listings, a small price increase may result in large click volume
changes as your listing elbows its way above those of your competitors.
This volatile and dynamic situation presents a profit-maximization
opportunity. Consider the following scenario:
- Revenue per sale is $200 with a wholesale product cost (to you
the merchant) of $130.
- The maximum CPO for your campaign (or group of listings)
is set to $50, meaning you are targeting an order costing you
no more than $50.
- Net profit per sale (after subtracting the $50 CPO) is $20.
- Given a specific conversion rate to sale for inbound clicks (let’s
assume a 4 percent rate), you are limited in the price you can
bid for each click to $2 ($50 × .04).
- At $2 (all you can afford to pay), your ad listing’s search results
position tends to be 4 to 6 on average, is not heavily syndicated,
and is low in visibility on the search results page, resulting in
only 1 percent of searchers who see your ad clicking it.
- At 1 percent of the clicks, you currently get 50 orders per week.
- Total profit is $1,000 (50 × $20).
If you were to raise the allowable target CPO for your listing to $60,
based on your conversion percentage, you would be able to raise your
bid per click significantly to $2.40, which would likely raise your average
position a couple of notches, perhaps to the top position. Because
of the higher visibility of the top positions and the inclusion of your
listing in more syndicated search engine partners such as AOL (which
has a syndication relationship with Google), traffic and orders would
increase significantly to 150 orders a week, with a new profit per sale
of $10 and a total profit of $1,500 on that specific ad listing. In this
scenario, advertising spending rises dramatically, but so does overall
profit, even as the presale profit drops. This is an example of using the
concept of profit maximization to control bidding for a single listing.
But wait. You don’t have just one listing; you have lots of them, in
many engines, plus other media opportunities. Assuming you have all the information you need to make decisions (by using killer web analytics) and an ability to execute campaign changes smoothly and
efficiently (by not expending too much time and money on processes
and analysis), you can profit-maximize your entire campaign at
once, raising and lowering CPO targets to find the best trade-off
between volume and profit.
Deciding where to put every additional (marginal) marketing dollar
involves looking for the best deals all the time by knowing what’s
working best and at what price. Essentially, you’re doing an efficiency
and trade-off analysis, not only between listings and engines
(comparing them to each other) but also across media types.
This approach is powerful and flexible. If you need to cut your budget,
cut the least efficient media placements (the ones with the lowest ROI).
Similarly, if you want to increase profitable revenues with more marketing
spend, select listings with the highest ROI (preferably where the
ROI drop is not large when you raise the CPC or position).
No one has perfect information about all their media buys at the most
granular level. But the Internet (and some offline direct marketing
media) lets you execute a media allocation method where you can
- Reduce spending on the least efficient element when trimming
the budget.
- Add dollars to the most efficient media vehicle to get the biggest
bang per buck.
- Generate a media spending analysis based on overall profit.
- Take all actions based on the marginal changes in profit (by
going to the highest ROI campaign elements first when seeking
volume plus efficiency).
Finding the “right ROI” and the “right profit-maximizing campaign”
is where the fun begins. Where marketing, business, accounting,
technology, and economics work together to optimize profit,
the term convergence has a new meaning.
You may not have the tools and technologies to facilitate marketing
automation and campaign effectiveness across, as well as within, media. But you can still use these concepts to implement a combination of analytics and automation to maximize profit within your
search campaigns.
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